Today, we're diving into a really cool tool called Occam's Razor. Imagine you have a bunch of explanations for why your ice cream melted. Occam's Razor helps us pick the simplest one, which usually means the explanation with the least number of guesses or assumptions. It's like being a detective, where the easiest solution is often the right one!

Hello curious minds! Today we’re diving into a fascinating mental model known as probabilistic thinking. This concept is a bit like guessing the chances of rain—it helps us make decisions based on the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s a powerful tool in both life and business, helping us navigate uncertainty with greater confidence.